Wild Things — Walk Prop Cheat Sheet originally appeared on Athlon Sports.

As betting becomes legalized nationwide and increasingly ubiquitous, we’ve witnessed an ever-growing interest in player props. When I polled the audience for what granular data they’d like to see or had trouble scraping, pitcher props were easily the most popular response.

So I place every day’s probable starters’ 2025 walk and ball rates next to their opponent, plus where that offense ranks in taking free passes this season. This gives us an instant glimpse at the entire board and a solid reference point for our daily parlay.

Today’s SP Command Metrics — (League Average 8.5% BB, 36.1% Ball)

• NYM G2 Blade Tidwell — 7.1 IP; 15.0% BB, 41.7% Ball vs. MIL 9.1% Rk 6
• MIL G2 Jacob Misiorowski — 16.0 IP; 12.5% BB, 34.0% Ball vs. NYM 9.1% Rk 9
• CHW Sean Burke — 69.2 IP; 11.0% BB, 38.6% Ball vs. LAD 9.6% Rk 3
• LAA Yusei Kikuchi — 96.2 IP; 10.7% BB, 36.6% Ball vs. ATL 9.3% Rk 4
• BOS Brayan Bello — 71.1 IP; 10.3% BB, 40.0% Ball vs. CIN 8.9% Rk 13
• NYY Will Warren — 80.1 IP; 10.1% BB, 38.2% Ball vs. TOR 8.7% Rk 18
• DET G2 Jack Flaherty — 84.1 IP; 9.9% BB, 36.8% Ball vs. WSH 7.7% Rk 32
• SF Landen Roupp — 81.1 IP; 9.5% BB, 38.0% Ball vs. ARI 9.1% Rk 5
• NYM G1 Clay Holmes — 88.0 IP; 9.5% BB, 36.5% Ball vs. MIL 9.1% Rk 10
• SD G2 Dylan Cease — 91.1 IP; 9.2% BB, 36.4% Ball vs. PHI 9.1% Rk 8
• MIN Simeon Woods Richardson — 54.0 IP; 9.1% BB, 37.6% Ball vs. MIA 8.1% Rk 26
• TOR Jose Berrios — 102.0 IP; 8.9% BB, 36.2% Ball vs. NYY 10.3% Rk 1
• MIL G1 Freddy Peralta — 93.0 IP; 8.8% BB, 39.2% Ball vs. NYM 9.1% Rk 7
• KC Noah Cameron — 51.2 IP; 8.8% BB, 36.7% Ball vs. SEA 8.9% Rk 14
• LAD Clayton Kershaw — 38.2 IP; 8.3% BB, 38.8% Ball vs. CHW 8.9% Rk 12
• TB Ryan Pepiot — 96.1 IP; 7.7% BB, 34.8% Ball vs. ATH 8.6% Rk 19
• CHC Shota Imanaga — 49.2 IP; 7.6% BB, 32.9% Ball vs. CLE 8.6% Rk 20
• HOU Hunter Brown — 98.0 IP; 7.6% BB, 37.8% Ball vs. COL 7.3% Rk 35
• WSH G2 MacKenzie Gore — 99.0 IP; 7.4% BB, 36.5% Ball vs. DET 8.4% Rk 23
• PHI G2 Cristopher Sanchez — 93.2 IP; 7.2% BB, 35.3% Ball vs. SD 8.5% Rk 21
• ATH Mitch Spence — 24.2 IP; 6.8% BB, 33.1% Ball vs. TB 8.1% Rk 27
• ARI Merrill Kelly — 98.0 IP; 6.6% BB, 35.6% Ball vs. SF 9.7% Rk 2
• SD G1 Nick Pivetta — 91.0 IP; 6.6% BB, 34.5% Ball vs. PHI 9.1% Rk 11
• CLE Tanner Bibee — 94.2 IP; 6.6% BB, 36.4% Ball vs. CHC 8.8% Rk 15
• PIT Mitch Keller — 99.1 IP; 6.0% BB, 32.8% Ball vs. STL 8.2% Rk 25
• CIN Nick Martinez — 91.0 IP; 5.6% BB, 35.6% Ball vs. BOS 8.7% Rk 17
• WSH G1 Trevor Williams — 79.2 IP; 5.6% BB, 36.3% Ball vs. DET 8.4% Rk 24
• BAL Tomoyuki Sugano — 88.2 IP; 4.8% BB, 36.4% Ball vs. TEX 7.8% Rk 29
• COL Austin Gomber — 14.2 IP; 4.8% BB, 30.3% Ball vs. HOU 7.7% Rk 31
• STL Sonny Gray — 93.2 IP; 4.5% BB, 33.7% Ball vs. PIT 8.8% Rk 16
• SEA Logan Gilbert — 45.2 IP; 4.4% BB, 32.9% Ball vs. KC 6.5% Rk 36
• TEX Nathan Eovaldi — 72.1 IP; 4.3% BB, 33.6% Ball vs. BAL 7.7% Rk 30
• PHI G1 Mick Abel — 23.1 IP; 4.2% BB, 33.2% Ball vs. SD 8.5% Rk 22
• ATL Didier Fuentes — 8.1 IP; 2.5% BB, 36.0% Ball vs. LAA 7.4% Rk 34
• MIA Janson Junk — 8.2 IP; 0.0% BB, 22.4% Ball vs. MIN 7.9% Rk 28

LAGHEZZA’S LEANS:

Methodology’s relatively simple here — target pitchers with struggles finding the zone consistently (high walk and ball rates), in matchups versus generally patient lineups. Also, make sure the pitcher in question projects for a full workload… if you’re going +6 IP, it’s a lot easier to expect multiple walks. Looking at you, Rocco Baldelli…

Yes, the top of our board’s screaming with matchups to make for a walk-heavy slate, but none of the youngsters are posted yet. That said, tier two’s just as tasty where we get strong lineups up against the pairing of Landen Roupp (eight straight +2 BB outings) and Sean Burke (+2 BB in 10 o 14 GS).

📝Today’s Action — TWO-LEG (+100) OVER 1.5 WALK PROP on Draftkings

• Landen Roupp, SF + Sean Burke, CHW

👎🏼 Yesterday’s parlay failed for second straight day ughhhhh.. Shane Smith cashed easy but Zac Gallen spun an absolute gem 👎🏼

BET SMALL, BET SMART, BET RESPONSIBLY

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This story was originally reported by Athlon Sports on Jul 2, 2025, where it first appeared.